On Monday, ESPN released their updated FPI for the 2024 college football season and the updated metrics are very high on the Nittany Lions entering the summer.
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ESPN's FPI has the Nittany Lions' as the No. 6 team in the country as everything stands right now with a 19.8 FPI. The only teams ahead of the Nittany Lions are Georgia, Oregon, Texas, Ohio State, and Alabama.
Currently, the FPI projects Penn State to finish with a 10.1 - 2.3 record and gives them a 7.1% chance to finish their season undefeated. For comparison, fellow Big Ten teams Oregon and Ohio State have a 10.8% and 7.5% chance to finish the regular season undefeated. Both programs are projected to have slightly better records than Penn Stat at 10.3 - 2.1 (Georgia) and 10.2 - 2.2 (Ohio State)
Additionally, Penn State is given a 99.1% chance to win at least six games and a 22.2% chance to win the Big Ten. The power index feels good about the Nittany Lions' chances of making the College Football Playoffs in its first rendition including 12-teams with a 59.1% chance to do so.
The only programs given a better chane to make the playoffs this upcoming season is Georgia (79.1%), Oregon (76.0%), Texas (67.8%), and Ohio State (67.2%). Notably, Notre Dame is tied with the Nittany Lions at 59.1%. The only other program with a better than a 50% chance to make the playoffs is Alabama at 57.2%.
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